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PENGARUH NILAI TUKAR RIIL, EKSPOR,DAN IMPOR TERHADAP DEVISA DI NEGARA ASEAN

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ABSTRACT THE EFFECT OF REAL EXCHANGE RATE, EXPORT AND IMPORT AGAINST FOREIGN EXCHANGE IN ASEAN COUNTRIES Written By: Restu Banjarnahor NIM. 1834003 This research aimed to examine and determine the effect of real exchange rate, export and import against foreign exchange Data were received from the Financial Statement of Asean department with the sample researched were Financial Statement of 2013-2018. The methods that used in this research were descriptive statistical analysis, correlation coefficient test, coefficient of determination test, simple linear regression analysis, classical assumption test, hypothesis test (F test and T test) and multiple linear regression analysis. The results of this study indicate that; 1) Real Exchange Rate partially has positive effect on Foreign Exchange by 42%, 2) Export partially has positive and strong effect on Foreign Exchange of 98%, 3) Imports partially has positive and strong effect on Foreign Exchange of 95%, 4) Exchange Rate Real, export and import simultaneously have a positive and strong effect on foreign exchange in ASEAN. The results of this study indicated that multiple linear regression analysis wasDEV = 2.802.964.359 + -16.152 RIIL + 1,27 EKS + 0,52 IM meaning that if Real exchange rate, eksport and prevention import was negligible then the Foreign Exchangewas $ 2.802.964.359, if real exchange rate down $ 1 then the Foreign Exchange decreased by $ 16.152, and if the export increased $ 1 then the Foreign Exchange increased by $ 1,27 and also if the import increased $ 1 then the Foreign exchange increased by $ 0,52. In other words the Real exchange rate, Export and Import positively affect the cost of Foreign Exchange rate. The simultaneous test result (F test) yields 572,98 >2,77 then H0was rejected and Hawas accepted which means there was significant influence between real exchange rate, export and import to Foreign exchange. Keywords: Real Exchange rate, Export, Import, Foreign Exchange.